{"created":"2023-06-20T14:54:08.321874+00:00","id":22399,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"a7bd8d4c-0d3c-4ba6-85c9-ba00531f6c7f"},"_deposit":{"created_by":1,"id":"22399","owners":[1],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"22399"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:jaxa.repo.nii.ac.jp:00022399","sets":["1887:1888"]},"author_link":["209954","209956","209957","209963","209955","209962","209958","209964","209961","209959","209960","209953"],"item_7_biblio_info_10":{"attribute_name":"書誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"bibliographicIssueDates":{"bibliographicIssueDate":"2013-06","bibliographicIssueDateType":"Issued"},"bibliographicIssueNumber":"6","bibliographicPageEnd":"1807","bibliographicPageStart":"1798","bibliographicVolumeNumber":"3","bibliographic_titles":[{},{"bibliographic_title":"Ecology and Evolution","bibliographic_titleLang":"en"}]}]},"item_7_description_17":{"attribute_name":"抄録（英）","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"Reports indicate that leaf onset (leaf flush) of deciduous trees in cool-temperate ecosystems is occurring earlier in the spring in response to global warming. In this study, we created two types of phenology models, one driven only by warmth (spring warming [SW] model) and another driven by both warmth and winter chilling (parallel chill [PC] model), to predict such phenomena in the Japanese Islands at high spatial resolution (500 m). We calibrated these models using leaf onset dates derived from satellite data (Terra/MODIS) and in situ temperature data derived from a dense network of ground stations Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System. We ran the model using future climate predictions created by the Japanese Meteorological Agency's MRI-AGCM3.1S model. In comparison to the first decade of the 2000s, our results predict that the date of leaf onset in the 2030s will advance by an average of 12 days under the SW model and 7 days under the PC model throughout the study area. The date of onset in the 2090s will advance by 26 days under the SW model and by 15 days under the PC model. The greatest impact will occur on Hokkaido (the northernmost island) and in the central mountains.","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_7_description_32":{"attribute_name":"資料番号","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"資料番号: PA1410033000","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_7_publisher_9":{"attribute_name":"出版者（英）","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"Wiley Open Access"}]},"item_7_relation_25":{"attribute_name":"DOI","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"info:doi/10.1002/ece3.575"}],"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.575","subitem_relation_type_select":"DOI"}}]},"item_7_source_id_21":{"attribute_name":"ISSN","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_source_identifier":"2045-7758","subitem_source_identifier_type":"ISSN"}]},"item_7_text_6":{"attribute_name":"著者所属","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"筑波大学"},{"subitem_text_value":"筑波大学"},{"subitem_text_value":"宇宙航空研究開発機構(JAXA)"},{"subitem_text_value":"筑波大学"},{"subitem_text_value":"筑波大学"},{"subitem_text_value":"気象研究所（MRI）"}]},"item_7_text_7":{"attribute_name":"著者所属（英）","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"University of Tsukuba"},{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"University of Tsukuba"},{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency(JAXA)"},{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"University of Tsukuba"},{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"University of Tsukuba"},{"subitem_text_language":"en","subitem_text_value":"Meteorological Research Institute（MRI）"}]},"item_access_right":{"attribute_name":"アクセス権","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_access_right":"metadata only access","subitem_access_right_uri":"http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb"}]},"item_creator":{"attribute_name":"著者","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Hadano, Mayumi"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Nishida, Kenlo  Nasahara"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"本岡, 毅"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Noda, Hibiki  Muraoka"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Murakami, Kazutaka"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Hosaka, Masahiro"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Hadano, Mayumi","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Nishida, Kenlo  Nasahara","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Motohka, Takeshi","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Noda, Hibiki  Muraoka","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Murakami, Kazutaka","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Hosaka, Masahiro","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_keyword":{"attribute_name":"キーワード","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_subject":"AGCM; global warming; green-red vegetation index (GRVI); phenology; remote sensing","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"}]},"item_language":{"attribute_name":"言語","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_language":"eng"}]},"item_resource_type":{"attribute_name":"資源タイプ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"resourcetype":"journal article","resourceuri":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501"}]},"item_title":"High-resolution prediction of leaf onset date in Japan in the 21st century under the IPCC A1B scenario","item_titles":{"attribute_name":"タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_title":"High-resolution prediction of leaf onset date in Japan in the 21st century under the IPCC A1B scenario","subitem_title_language":"en"}]},"item_type_id":"7","owner":"1","path":["1888"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"公開日","attribute_value":"2015-03-26"},"publish_date":"2015-03-26","publish_status":"0","recid":"22399","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["High-resolution prediction of leaf onset date in Japan in the 21st century under the IPCC A1B scenario"],"weko_creator_id":"1","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2023-06-21T03:21:51.516261+00:00"}